Economic Impacts of Pricing Carbon

Laser Talk

This page was updated on 05/13/18 17:41 CDT.

Question:  Won’t a Carbon Fee be bad for the economy?

Answer: A properly designed carbon policy will not depress the economy. CCL’s Carbon Fee and Dividend proposal is predicted to strengthen the economy and create jobs. The positive impact on our welfare will be even larger if we consider the avoided costs of climate change and the health benefits from reduced air pollution.

An impressive 98 percent of economists agree that a price on carbon will promote efficiency and innovation. [1] A 2013 review by Resources for The Future [2] held that the impact of various carbon tax plans on GDP would be ‘trivially small,’ and a 2014 analysis of the Carbon Fee and Dividend by REMI [3] predicted that over 20 years, it would actually increase U.S. GDP by $1.4 trillion.

But none of these studies account for how much money we will save by avoiding damages from fossil fuels. In 2017, a string of climate-related disasters cost our economy over $300 billion. [4] According to a 2016 government report, every metric ton of carbon dioxide (CO₂) emitted now will cost tomorrow’s economy from $12 to $120, and that cost could double by 2050. [5] We currently emit over 160 metric tons of CO₂ per second. [6]

Include the health costs of fossil fuel air pollution, which have been estimated at $188 billion annually, [7] and it’s clear that burning fossil fuels is already costing our economy upwards of $250 billion a year.

When someone claims a carbon tax will depress the economy, they fail to consider how returning the money back to U.S. households changes the results, and also fail to account for the huge costs of doing nothing.

Related: The REMI Study.